Reach her at caitlin.yilek@cbsinteractive.com. ", Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., speaks to supporters after arriving at an election night party in Neenah, Wis., Tuesday, Nov. 8, 2022. The registered voter sample has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.6 percentage points. Mandela Barnes speaks at a rally for Jacob Blake Jr., who was paralyzed in a police shooting last year, in Kenosha, Wis. Barnes is leading in the Democratic primary to replace Republican Sen. Ron Johnson. AP Photo/Mike Roemer. This week . The 2016 Marquette poll showed a full 30 percent of respondents didn't know enough about Johnson to form a favorable or unfavorable opinion of him. In 2016, Johnson stunned political observers when he defeated former Democratic U.S. Sen. Russ Feingold after Marquette polling in late August showed Feingold ahead by 4 percentage points. Top editors give you the stories you want delivered right to your inbox each weekday. Although Wisconsin's primary won't take place until August 9, Barnes, who was already leading in the polls, is all but guaranteed to secure the Democratic nomination. Mandela Barnes, CBS News is projecting Johnson the winner. For an optimal experience visit our site on another browser. Ukraine News. By comparison, 48 percent of Wisconsinites said they approved of their Democratic governor, and only 45 percent said they disapproved. For questions or comments, contact WPRs Audience Services at 1-800-747-7444, email listener@wpr.org or use our Listener Feedback form. The latest Marquette Law School poll also found the race for governor has tightened in the pivotal battleground state. Hungry? It's looking all but certain that Wisconsin Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes will be the Democratic opponent to take on the much-maligned Wisconsin Senator Ron Johnson in November. Barnes is tied with Johnson in the head-to-head, a sign of Barnes' latest strength and indicating serious weakness on the part of the 11-year incumbent. Marquette Law School defines "likely voters" as those "who say they are certain to vote or who say they have already voted. Stay informed with WPR's email newsletter. Barnes' campaign and allied outside Democratic groups launched a series of attacks against Johnson painting him as an out-of-touch millionaire who worked to secure tax cuts for himself and billionaire donors in 2017. or redistributed. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, Some ads focused on positions Barnes had taken or statements he had made such as his support for ending cash bail and saying that reducing prison populations is now sexy while others made misleading claims about his tenure as the state's lieutenant governor, like accusing his administration of having paroled hundreds of violent offenders. Incumbent Republican Sen. Ron Johnson is widening the gap over his Democratic challenger, Mandela Barnes, in Wisconsin's Senate race, a new poll from Marquette Law School found. Mandela Barnes, a Democrat trailing in Wisconsin polls and getting hammered by an onslaught of negative television advertising in his race to unseat Senator Ron Johnson, a. . Top Sheboygan officials lacked key details on police department sexual harassment probes, State lawmakers try again to allow DACA recipients to become police officers in Wisconsin, Tired of waiting, a Wisconsin island community is directing millions to create its own high-speed internet. ", Barnes did not take the stage on election night. MADISON, Wis. (AP) U.S. Senate Republican Ron Johnson and Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes got personal in their final debate Thursday before the Nov. 8 election, with each candidate . "Of course, we've said that before," Chergosky said. AP Photo/Mike Roemer. State Treasurer Sarah Godlewski followed suit on Friday, saying that the Democratic Party should be united going into the election. Johnson won his first Senate race in 2010, unseating Democratic Sen. Russ Feingold. Johnson promised to be a "citizen legislator" and serve just two terms. C-SPAN, an acronym for Cable-Satellite Public Affairs Network, is an American cable television network that offers coverage of federal government proceedings and other public affairs programming via its three television channels (C-SPAN, C-SPAN2 and C-SPAN3), one radio station and a group of. (AP Photo/Morry Gash). Stay up to date with what you want to know. Nearly all of the likely voters, or 94 percent, said their minds were made up about their chosen candidate, leaving 6 percent who might change their mind before the November election. However, the most recent polling for the race suggests that Barnes is narrowly ahead of the incumbent. National media reports say the red wave that Republicans hoped for in this years midterm elections has been downgraded to more of a trickle. It was all to play for Thursday night as Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson met Democratic challenger, Lt. Gov. Sign up now! Ron Johnson (R-WI) and his Democratic challenger, Lt. Gov. According to OpenSecrets, Johnson raised $31.5 million, spent $28 million, and had $3.5 million in cash on hand, as of October 19. Wisconsin Lt. Gov. Both the Senate and gubernatorial races remain highly partisan. A central Wisconsin food pantry grew fivefold during the pandemic. A Fox News survey of. 2022 #WISen General Election Poll: Mandela Barnes (D) 43% Ron Johnson (R-Inc) 43% @claritycampaign / @TheOtherMandela (D) Internal ~ 756 LV ~ 9/8-9/11 https://t.co/OXfsRBbJJX GOP Sen. Ron Johnson has won re-election to a third term in Wisconsin, NBC News projects, narrowly defeating Democrat Mandela Barnes. Mutual Fund and ETF data provided by Refinitiv Lipper. defeated former Democratic U.S. Sen. Russ Feingold, Democratic Lt. Gov. Barnes made an early bet to run as a progressive and largely did not move to the center. The two candidates are scheduled to hold their second and final televised debate on Thursday. 1998 - 2023 Nexstar Media Inc. | All Rights Reserved. Incumbent Sen. RonJohnson(R-Wis.) and Democratic challenger MandelaBarnes are neck and neck in Wisconsins Senate race, according to a new CNN poll. Johnson did not respond to the Pulse's request to participate in the questionnaire. In an eight-candidate field, where several rivals were still actively campaigning, Barnes won more than 77 percent of the vote. An older poll, conducted last September by Clarity Campaign Labs for Barnes' campaign, showed the Democrat tied with Johnson. Mandela Barnes. Johnson has long been known as a polarizing and controversial figure in politics who made headlines for pushing drugs like hydroxychloroquine and ivermectin as early treatment options during the COVID-19 pandemic. He's also been a leading skeptic of COVID-19 vaccines making false or misleading claims about the shots. In September, Evers led among independents 45% to 39%. Liberal groups in Wisconsin seeking to change rules governing absentee ballots suffered a blow this week after an appeals court and a circuit judge ruled that ballots cannot contain partial addresses of witnesses. That means Barnes' narrow lead is well within the survey's margin of error. He said the August polling results from multiple sources show him "this is a very competitive race and Democrats have a compelling opportunity to unseat Ron Johnson.". This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. Updated on: November 9, 2022 / 11:38 AM Quotes displayed in real-time or delayed by at least 15 minutes. The Marquette poll found that more voters had a favorable opinion of him than not, but 30 percent said they haven't heard enough about Barnes. Those results weren't far off from a Marquette University Law School poll on Aug. 17, showing Barnes beating Johnson 51 percent to 44 percent among likely midterm voters. Evers and Michels will face off on Friday for their only televised debate. We will wait and see what the Wisconsin voters have decided after all their voices are heard," the statement said. In the Senate, Johnson serves on the Foreign Relations Committee, the Budget Committee, the Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs Committee, and the Commerce Committee. His campaign focused heavily on promises to protect abortion rights and Social Security benefits. Marquette polled 801 registered voters via phone interviews from Oct. 3-9 (652 of those are considered likely voters), with more than half of the interviews coming before last Friday's debate. In a possibly positive sign for Barnes, far more respondents to the poll said they viewed Johnson unfavorably. Mandela Barnes on Tuesday. Wisconsin's Republican Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic Lt. Gov. When Johnson first ran for public office in 2010 and even during his first reelection bid, Chergosky said many voters hadn't yet formed an opinion. Meanwhile, 7 percent said they did not know who they would vote for, while 3 percent said they would vote for someone else, would not vote or refused to answer. Develop Barnes to overcome his 27,374 vote deficit. Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes side by side. Governor Mandela Barnes, left and US Senator Ron Johnson participate in the senate debate co-hosted by Marquette University and TMJ4 at Marquette University's Varsity Theatre at 1326 W.. Prior to several outlets projecting him as the winner, Johnson, who will now serve his third six-year term, said in a written statement that the corporate media refused to call a race that is over. Market data provided by Factset. Both politicians were backed by 43 percent of likely voters. This race is over.. Most young men are single. Wisconsin GOP Sen. Ron Johnson defeated Democratic Lt. Gov. The Democratic candidate hasn't found a way to respond to Senator Ron Johnson's attacks on crime, and is foundering in the polls as a result. In early October, Barnes launched a "Ron Against Roe" tour of Wisconsin to highlight Johnson's longtime support for national abortion bans. It's official: Mandela Barnes has the best chance of anyone in this Senate primary to defeat Ron Johnson. Mandela Barnes, the lieutenant governor of . "There is no path mathematically for Lt. Gov. Johnson also holds a 2-point lead over Barnes in favorability ratings among likely voters, with 46 percent saying they have a favorable opinion of the Republican and 44 percent saying the same of the Democrat. Tommy's Lounge, a vital lifeline to former forces personnel. An older poll, conducted last September by Clarity Campaign Labs for Barnes' campaign, showed the Democrat tied with Johnson. Mandela Barnes concedes US Senate race to Republican incumbent Ron Johnson, Evers has a slight lead over Michels in Wisconsin governor's race, per Marquette Law School poll, Ron Johnson calls for annual approval of Social Security, Medicare funding, Mandela Barnes to Milwaukee Rotary: Ron Johnson is a 'threat to the stability of this country', La Crosse Sheriff's captain denies endorsing Mandela Barnes in US Senate race, Madison Common Council eases limits on unrelated people renting homes together, From grocery store shelves to restaurant menus, food prices 10 percent higher than a year ago, Report: Inflation Reduction Act could bring over 24K jobs to Wisconsin over next decade, Evers proposes $750M for broadband expansion amid massive federal investment in high-speed internet, Evers proposes $3.8B in state building projects, Landowners sue Lac du Flambeau tribal leaders to reopen roads blocked for a month, Supreme Court candidate Janet Protasiewicz says she'd recuse herself in cases involving state Democratic Party, State lawmakers try again to allow DACA recipients to become police officers in Wisconsin, Dairy groups call new federal guidance for labeling plant-based milk alternatives a 'double-edged sword', Wisconsin Educational Communications Board. Keep updated on the latest news and information. Barnes had also attempted to undercut Johnsons claims that he supports law enforcement by repeatedly pointing out that he downplayed the Jan. 6 riot, in which police were overrun and in some cases brutally beaten by a pro-Trump mob. In the race for U.S. Senate, Democrat Mandela Barnes is supported by 51% and incumbent Republican Sen. Ron Johnson is the choice of 44%, while 1% say "neither," 3% say they don't know and 1% decline to answer. With 98.91% of the vote in, Johnson had 50.5% . A Fox News poll released Aug. 18 had Barnes with 50 percent of the support of likely voters and Johnson trailing with 46 percent. TrendRadars. Among those citing integrity as most important, Barnes won 54% of the vote, while among those saying a candidate who shares values with them is most important, 60% voted for Johnson. Currently, Wisconsin voters cannot change laws by direct referendum. I want to thank my family and everyone who supported me and worked so hard to save this U.S. Senate seat. The poll from Marquette Law School suggests Johnson, a two-term incumbent, is leading Barnes, the states lieutenant governor, among likely voters by 6 percentage points 52% to 46%. A survey conducted by Marquette Law School from June 14 to 20 showed Johnson behind the Democratic challenger by 2 points. 4:12. AP Photo/Mike Roemer, "We've looked very closely at the numbers," said Johnson. Johnson was one of Trump's most ardent legislative supporters of the 2017 tax reform bill, which overhauled the tax code and repealed the Affordable Care Act's individual mandate. Barnes became Wisconsin's first Black lieutenant governor in 2018 and he would become the state's first Black U.S. senator if he defeats Johnson. Sign up for notifications from Insider! Democrat Russ Feingold held the seat now occupied by Johnson from 1993 until he was defeated by the Republican in 2010. Barnes leads Johnson with women and younger voters. In 2020, now-President Joe Biden won Wisconsin by roughly 20,000 votes out of nearly 3.3 million ballots cast. Johnson built a small lead in most polls over Barnes though within the margin of error after he began relentlessly focusing on crime, and his victory suggests the strategy worked. But Evers' approval rating remains above water. Well over half (57 percent) of voters in the state said they disapproved of the job Biden is doing as president, and only 40 percent approved. He said residents should also expect "a new low" in terms of how negative campaign ads will be this election cycle. MILWAUKEE A new Marquette Law School Poll survey of Wisconsin voters finds close races for governor and for the U.S. Senate. Barnes' lead was within the polls' 2.9 percent margin of error. 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